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  • Here’s the 2026 Peak Fall Foliage Prediction for Northern Virginia
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Here’s the 2026 Peak Fall Foliage Prediction for Northern Virginia

Current forecasts show a peak fall foliage window that’s later than normal.

By Michele Kettner September 11, 2026 at 7:00 am

Now that September is here, autumn is on our minds. And one of the best parts about the season is the vibrant foliage that covers the region.

If you’re trying to plan your fall activities around the changing scenery, Northern Virginia can expect to hit peak fall foliage starting October 30, according to Explore Fall’s prediction.

Peak conditions are forecasted to begin in western Loudoun County starting October 30 and will spread throughout the region through November 6. 

Purcellville and The Plains are expected to see peak conditions around November 1. By November 3, Leesburg, Manassas, and various Fairfax County should reach peak color. Then, by November 6, Arlington, Alexandria, and Fredericksburg should be covered in vibrant foliage.

2026 peak fall foliage map of virginia
Courtesy Explore Fall

The Explore Fall map considers temperature, precipitation, and daylight data to estimate peak foliage dates across the country. The site says the model is estimated to be “accurate within three days 80% of the time.”

In addition to the live map, Explore Fall also provides location-specific forecasts. The map is predicting that “the late summer temperature pattern is pushing peak color later, but other contributing factors are partially offsetting that timing effect.” Drought conditions may also affect fall foliage color quality in select areas in the region.

Feature image, pabrady63/stock.adobe.com

Michele Kettner

Michele Kettner

Audience Engagement Editor

Michele Kettner joined Northern Virginia Magazine in 2020 after spending two semesters as an editorial intern at the magazine. The University of Maryland graduate is currently the audience engagement editor and covers everything from can’t-miss things to do and holiday events to new restaurant and store openings throughout Northern Virginia.

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